JAKARTA - When the results of the fast (quick count) surveys a number of institutions accurately, President Elections (Pilpres) 2009 will be complete in one round only. The winner is the pair Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (SBY)-Boediono. According to the quick count results, the pairing is meraup vote above 50 percent.
In addition, still according to the results, the voice pair gain dominance SBY-Boediono dominate almost all provinces in Indonesia, amounting to 33 provinces.
SBY-pair''Boediono successful get more than 20 percent in every province,''said Executive Director of Circle Health of Indonesia (LSI) Denny JA in Jakarta yesterday (8 / 7). In fact, he added, Pilpres Law No.42 / 2008 requires only minimal or separonya only 17 provinces.
According to Denny, diperbolehkannya use of ID cards to choose, such as the Constitutional Court has decided (MK), thus the SBY-Boediono. Because''directly also to expand their potential voters,''he said.
Quick count results of the LSI Denny J.A. TPS in 2000, SBY-Boediono winner with 60.15 percent. Acquisition is not much different with the findings of Surveys Indonesia (LSI) leadership Syaiful Mujani found that 60.85 percent of the incumbent choose duet. The same results quickly Cirus Surveyors Group, LP3ES, and Metro TV.
Public Affairs Manager of Health Indonesia (LSI) Burhanuddin Muhtadi menuturkan, SBY-Boediono indeed successfully obtain at least 20 percent of the vote diperebutkan in all provinces. In fact, SBY-Boediono into jawara in 30 provinces. Except for the Bali-dominated Megawati Prabowo. Similarly in South Sulawesi and Gorontalo, the crumple Jusuf Kalla (JK)-Wiranto.
Nearly all the voters''in Aceh appeared to SBY-Boediono. The amount is 93 percent,''said Burhan Burhanuddin Muhtadi-greeting. Acquisition of SBY also be in West Sumatra (80 percent), North Sumatra (72 percent), Jakarta (71 percent), and Lampung (69 percent).
Calculations fast LSI is done in the 2116 TPS. But, in the process, there officers in the survey, 11 TPS in Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Maluku, and which can not transmit data in the absence of mobile phone signals. ''So, go vote total 99.48 percent,''he said. Tolerance error (margin of error) in the quick count is plus-minus 1 percent in the 95 percent level kepecayaan.
Burhan menuturkan, MK decision which allows the use of ID cards to select a gift of democracy for all people. MK decisions that, he clearly will increase the legitimacy pilpres. The protests against the voters that are not already registered in the DPT diakomodasi.
The''political, MK decisions that benefit SBY. Sejatinya because now there is no more reason for the political opponents of SBY to make cheating as scapegoat,''he said.
Burhan mentions, the use of ID card is also not able to change the map elektoral. In fact, he said, is only about 2.4 percent of the voters not registered in the DPT and may use the ID card.
Category voters are also not discriminatory to one of the candidates only. Instead terdistribusi proportionally to all the candidates. All candidates''were actually harmed by KPU is not professional,''said Burhan.
Burhan add, most amount of swing voters who appeared to reach 18.6 percent in the second-last-drop option to Megawati Soekarnoputri-Prabowo.
Swing voter, he is clear, that for a voter who does not''die hard''or too partisan to the candidates in the fight pilpres or not bound by the political parties that support a particular candidate. I suspect her''Prabowo catches their attention,''he said.
On the other, until 20:00 o'clock last night, have not received Capres SBY congratulation from Megawati Soekarnoputri and Jusuf Kalla. Nevertheless, SBY akan sure all parties receive pilpres results yesterday.
"I guess, all parties are managing the hearts and minds of each. Thus, even if Pak Jusuf Kalla and Bu Megawati has not yet had time to communicate with me, I am sure we have all the good thoughts," said SBY in Puri Cikeas, Bogor, yesterday (8 / 7).
SBY affirm, together with Jusuf Kalla himself still mengemban duty as president and vice president until October 2009. "This contract, both of us, also with the minister. Of course we will continue to cooperate. So, I have confidence, we will communicate back," he said.
He added that the (work) to live cabinet three months this will be used as well as possible for the program is not complete. Of them, completing a number of the bill has not been completed and are working to reduce the impact of the economic crisis of the world.
About allegations of cheating still in pilpres yesterday, SBY ask all parties to be careful in that case revealed. "People who have sovereignty, they choose the TPS each with transparency across the country. So, be careful to say this election is not transparent," he said. SBY holds that pilpres yesterday held democratic, transparent, and secure.
Until last night, guests, especially the team success and support SBY, came to hold Puri Cikeas. The general public also many who want to give congratulation to SBY, but not received. There are also some people who claim to volunteer as a team and force to enter.
KPU tabulation via SMS
In addition to relying on the manual, the KPU pilpres this time will release earnings results of the vote tabulation derived from the short message service (SMS) from the TPS-TPS se-Indonesia.
''This data directly from the TPS, and in the SMS-to-right center,''said KPU Chairman Abdul Hafiz Anshary to reporters in Jakarta yesterday (8 / 7).
Unlike the previous tabulation (in the implementation of the legislative elections), which use the scanner, this time KPU maximize parking facilities send data to each of the TPS. Mobile phone number in each KPPS (group organizers poll) used to send data tabulation is not haphazard. ''Recorded by the team and the IT-protect (protected),''said Hafiz.
KPU member Abdul Aziz added, tabulation SMS can not cover all TPS. Only about 104 thousand number of TPS ponselnya already registered. For example, the Maluku and South Sulawesi do not register. KPU middle confirmation KPU area related tabulation of results. ''So, this function only to provide information, not the determination of reference time,''said Aziz. Determination remains to be guided manually count the KPU on July 22-24 to come.
As the tabulation of what SMS is? Aziz explained, each region and the TPS has a special code. Team of information technology (IT) KPU work with IFES has recorded the numbers of each officer KPPS handphone. However, only one mobile phone number which can be used to send. ''That was prone manipulation. However, as a filter, we ask that when sending staff also deliver data DPT (permanent voters list) of TPS,''said Aziz.
Security is not enough there. Aziz said, sent a SMS data each TPS can be recapitulated KPU kabupaten / kota. Each KPU kabupaten / city must perform scanning form C1. ''That's not for tabulation, but to prove that the documents and data that is sent when the SMS correct or not,''explained.
However, the news circulating, said the data submitted by the KPU will be released only a day. That is, until at 00.00 WIB early days earlier. KPU will not release data tabulation SMS on this day onwards. Definitive'', the amount of up to 104 thousand was presented. After that, the finish,''says Husni Fahmi, KPU IT team coordinator.
Antasari-Rani Failed Nyontreng
Suspect cases of murder of former Director Putra Rajawali Banjaran (PRB) Nasrudin Zulkarnain, Antasari Azhar, yesterday (8 / 7) can not use the franchise. For, KPU does not provide TPS in Rutan Polda Metro Jaya. "It should, KPU be proactive to see the problems. Do not just because it related to the case law, they (Antasari cs, Red) lost their franchise," said attorney Antasari, Juniver Girsang.
According Juniver, KPU should be able accommodate all the problems associated with elections, including the prisoners as Antasari that can not be out of custody. "That is the constitutional rights of each citizen. Seharusnya, it can not be ignored," specifically.
Kapolda Metro Jaya Irjen Wahyono say, vote in custody Polda Metro Jaya terkendala technical problems. He stressed that the government repeatedly inscribe KPU-related problem. However, the KPU same answer, ie a technical issue. "That's the problem in the KPU, technical," he said.
In separate places, Rani Juliani, 23, third wife of Nasrudin also failed mencontreng. "Rani earlier (yesterday, Red) morning the phone, he would mencontreng at home. But, for kepastiannya, I do not know," said Ahmad, 35, husband een Amalia, 29, sister Rani uterus, yesterday. In addition, both parents are college student STMIK Raharja, Endang M. Hasan, 67, and Kuswati, 60, also does not come dikabarkan.
Pencontrengan until after the time limit, at around 12:00, and Rani both parents does not appear in the village of TPS Vacant RT 01/04, Panunggangan Kelurahan, Kecamatan Pinang, Tangerang City. (pri / bay / Sof / rdl / din / ind / jpnn / iro / KUM)
Thursday, July 9, 2009
Quick Count Results SBY-Boediono Reach Voters in the Top 50 Percent
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